Asset-level trend state

VAMS

Confirmed VAMS readings for the portfolio assets plus selected public equities. These are asset-level trend states, not allocation recommendations.

Snapshot
GeneratedSep 3, 2026, 5:45 PM CDT
Assets14

VT

Total World Stock ETF
Bullish
z-score
-0.21 Neutral
Trend votes
5/5 Bullish
Price > 50dma
161.76 vs 158.07
Bullish
Price > 200dma
161.76 vs 148.67
Bullish
50dma > 200dma
158.07 vs 148.67
Bullish
3m return > 0
2.4%
Bullish
50dma rising
158.07 vs 157.08 10d ago
Bullish
Triggered rule
Bullish: trend confirmation

Price is above the 200dma, 3m return is positive, and at least 4 of 5 trend votes are bullish.

Next Bearish Trigger
Bearish trend breakdown

Price falls below the 200dma (161.76 vs 148.67; cushion about 8.1%); 3m return turns negative (2.4%); 50dma stops rising versus 10 trading days ago (158.07 vs 157.08 10d ago; cushion about 0.6%). Would trigger Bearish trend breakdown.

GLDM

SPDR Gold MiniShares
Bearish
z-score
-1.38 Bearish
Trend votes
2/5 Bearish
Price > 50dma
88.52 vs 83.71
Bullish
Price > 200dma
88.52 vs 89.47
Bearish
50dma > 200dma
83.71 vs 89.47
Bearish
3m return > 0
-0.2%
Bearish
50dma rising
83.71 vs 82.38 10d ago
Bullish
Triggered rule
Bearish: z-score and trend breakdown

z < -0.25 with 2 or fewer trend votes, and price < 200dma with negative 3m return and 2 or fewer trend votes.

Next Bullish Trigger
Bullish trend confirmation

Price moves above the 200dma (88.52 vs 89.47; needs about 1.1%); 3m return turns positive (-0.2%). Would trigger Bullish trend confirmation.

BTC

Bitcoin
Bullish
z-score
0.86 Bullish
Trend votes
4/5 Bullish
Price > 50dma
81,211.76 vs 68,457.41
Bullish
Price > 200dma
81,211.76 vs 69,567.90
Bullish
50dma > 200dma
68,457.41 vs 69,567.90
Bearish
3m return > 0
32.1%
Bullish
50dma rising
68,457.41 vs 65,463.01 10d ago
Bullish
Triggered rule
Bullish: z-score and trend confirmation

z > +0.25 with at least 3 trend votes, and price > 200dma with positive 3m return and at least 4 trend votes.

Next Bearish Trigger
Bearish trend breakdown

Price falls below the 200dma (81,211.76 vs 69,567.90; cushion about 14.3%); 3m return turns negative (32.1%). Would trigger Bearish trend breakdown.

AGG

iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Bearish
z-score
-1.29 Bearish
Trend votes
0/5 Bearish
Price > 50dma
96.95 vs 97.29
Bearish
Price > 200dma
96.95 vs 97.48
Bearish
50dma > 200dma
97.29 vs 97.48
Bearish
3m return > 0
-0.7%
Bearish
50dma rising
97.29 vs 97.41 10d ago
Bearish
Triggered rule
Bearish: z-score and trend breakdown

z < -0.25 with 2 or fewer trend votes, and price < 200dma with negative 3m return and 2 or fewer trend votes.

Next Bullish Trigger
Bullish trend confirmation

Price moves above the 200dma (96.95 vs 97.48; needs about 0.6%); 3m return turns positive (-0.7%); 50dma starts rising versus 10 trading days ago (97.29 vs 97.41 10d ago); 50dma moves above the 200dma (97.29 vs 97.48; gap about 0.2%). Would trigger Bullish trend confirmation.

TLT

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Bearish
z-score
-0.97 Bearish
Trend votes
0/5 Bearish
Price > 50dma
82.07 vs 83.01
Bearish
Price > 200dma
82.07 vs 84.61
Bearish
50dma > 200dma
83.01 vs 84.61
Bearish
3m return > 0
-2.9%
Bearish
50dma rising
83.01 vs 83.57 10d ago
Bearish
Triggered rule
Bearish: z-score and trend breakdown

z < -0.25 with 2 or fewer trend votes, and price < 200dma with negative 3m return and 2 or fewer trend votes.

Next Bullish Trigger
Bullish trend confirmation

Price moves above the 200dma (82.07 vs 84.61; needs about 3.1%); 3m return turns positive (-2.9%); 50dma starts rising versus 10 trading days ago (83.01 vs 83.57 10d ago); Price moves above the 50dma (82.07 vs 83.01; needs about 1.1%). Would trigger Bullish trend confirmation.

BRK.B

Berkshire Hathaway
Bullish
z-score
-0.59 Bearish
Trend votes
5/5 Bullish
Price > 50dma
508.13 vs 502.78
Bullish
Price > 200dma
508.13 vs 492.40
Bullish
50dma > 200dma
502.78 vs 492.40
Bullish
3m return > 0
6.2%
Bullish
50dma rising
502.78 vs 500.15 10d ago
Bullish
Triggered rule
Bullish: trend confirmation

Price is above the 200dma, 3m return is positive, and at least 4 of 5 trend votes are bullish.

Next Bearish Trigger
Bearish z-score + weak trend breadth

50dma stops rising versus 10 trading days ago (502.78 vs 500.15 10d ago; cushion about 0.5%); Price falls below the 50dma (508.13 vs 502.78; cushion about 1.1%); 50dma falls below the 200dma (502.78 vs 492.40; cushion about 2.1%). Would trigger Bearish z-score + weak trend breadth.

AMZN

Amazon
Bullish
z-score
-0.55 Bearish
Trend votes
5/5 Bullish
Price > 50dma
258.90 vs 253.32
Bullish
Price > 200dma
258.90 vs 238.99
Bullish
50dma > 200dma
253.32 vs 238.99
Bullish
3m return > 0
2.0%
Bullish
50dma rising
253.32 vs 249.32 10d ago
Bullish
Triggered rule
Bullish: trend confirmation

Price is above the 200dma, 3m return is positive, and at least 4 of 5 trend votes are bullish.

Next Bearish Trigger
Bearish z-score + weak trend breadth

50dma stops rising versus 10 trading days ago (253.32 vs 249.32 10d ago; cushion about 1.6%); 3m return turns negative (2.0%); Price falls below the 50dma (258.90 vs 253.32; cushion about 2.2%). Would trigger Bearish z-score + weak trend breadth.

AAPL

Apple
Bullish
z-score
0.37 Bullish
Trend votes
5/5 Bullish
Price > 50dma
328.21 vs 314.25
Bullish
Price > 200dma
328.21 vs 283.61
Bullish
50dma > 200dma
314.25 vs 283.61
Bullish
3m return > 0
5.5%
Bullish
50dma rising
314.25 vs 309.85 10d ago
Bullish
Triggered rule
Bullish: z-score and trend confirmation

z > +0.25 with at least 3 trend votes, and price > 200dma with positive 3m return and at least 4 trend votes.

Next Bearish Trigger
Bearish trend breakdown

Price falls below the 200dma (328.21 vs 283.61; cushion about 13.6%); 3m return turns negative (5.5%); 50dma stops rising versus 10 trading days ago (314.25 vs 309.85 10d ago; cushion about 1.4%). Would trigger Bearish trend breakdown.

TSLA

Tesla
Bearish
z-score
-0.40 Bearish
Trend votes
1/5 Bearish
Price > 50dma
376.36 vs 358.37
Bullish
Price > 200dma
376.36 vs 399.83
Bearish
50dma > 200dma
358.37 vs 399.83
Bearish
3m return > 0
-10.1%
Bearish
50dma rising
358.37 vs 366.23 10d ago
Bearish
Triggered rule
Bearish: z-score and trend breakdown

z < -0.25 with 2 or fewer trend votes, and price < 200dma with negative 3m return and 2 or fewer trend votes.

Next Bullish Trigger
Bullish trend confirmation

Price moves above the 200dma (376.36 vs 399.83; needs about 6.2%); 3m return turns positive (-10.1%); 50dma starts rising versus 10 trading days ago (358.37 vs 366.23 10d ago). Would trigger Bullish trend confirmation.

MSFT

Microsoft
Bullish
z-score
0.10 Neutral
Trend votes
5/5 Bullish
Price > 50dma
510.12 vs 441.23
Bullish
Price > 200dma
510.12 vs 431.09
Bullish
50dma > 200dma
441.23 vs 431.09
Bullish
3m return > 0
19.2%
Bullish
50dma rising
441.23 vs 418.13 10d ago
Bullish
Triggered rule
Bullish: trend confirmation

Price is above the 200dma, 3m return is positive, and at least 4 of 5 trend votes are bullish.

Next Bearish Trigger
Bearish trend breakdown

Price falls below the 200dma (510.12 vs 431.09; cushion about 15.5%); 3m return turns negative (19.2%); 50dma falls below the 200dma (441.23 vs 431.09; cushion about 2.3%). Would trigger Bearish trend breakdown.

NVDA

NVIDIA
Bullish
z-score
-0.66 Bearish
Trend votes
5/5 Bullish
Price > 50dma
228.45 vs 209.87
Bullish
Price > 200dma
228.45 vs 196.46
Bullish
50dma > 200dma
209.87 vs 196.46
Bullish
3m return > 0
4.5%
Bullish
50dma rising
209.87 vs 207.29 10d ago
Bullish
Triggered rule
Bullish: trend confirmation

Price is above the 200dma, 3m return is positive, and at least 4 of 5 trend votes are bullish.

Next Bearish Trigger
Bearish z-score + weak trend breadth

50dma stops rising versus 10 trading days ago (209.87 vs 207.29 10d ago; cushion about 1.2%); 3m return turns negative (4.5%); 50dma falls below the 200dma (209.87 vs 196.46; cushion about 6.4%). Would trigger Bearish z-score + weak trend breadth.

GOOG

Alphabet
Bearish
z-score
-0.87 Bearish
Trend votes
2/5 Bearish
Price > 50dma
339.08 vs 346.67
Bearish
Price > 200dma
339.08 vs 334.54
Bullish
50dma > 200dma
346.67 vs 334.54
Bullish
3m return > 0
-8.2%
Bearish
50dma rising
346.67 vs 350.39 10d ago
Bearish
Triggered rule
Bearish: z-score + weak trend breadth

z < -0.25 and 2 or fewer of 5 trend votes are bullish.

Next Bullish Trigger
Bullish trend confirmation

3m return turns positive (-8.2%); 50dma starts rising versus 10 trading days ago (346.67 vs 350.39 10d ago). Would trigger Bullish trend confirmation.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase
Bullish
z-score
0.39 Bullish
Trend votes
5/5 Bullish
Price > 50dma
362.06 vs 349.30
Bullish
Price > 200dma
362.06 vs 318.05
Bullish
50dma > 200dma
349.30 vs 318.05
Bullish
3m return > 0
16.5%
Bullish
50dma rising
349.30 vs 343.09 10d ago
Bullish
Triggered rule
Bullish: z-score and trend confirmation

z > +0.25 with at least 3 trend votes, and price > 200dma with positive 3m return and at least 4 trend votes.

Next Bearish Trigger
Bearish trend breakdown

Price falls below the 200dma (362.06 vs 318.05; cushion about 12.2%); 3m return turns negative (16.5%); 50dma stops rising versus 10 trading days ago (349.30 vs 343.09 10d ago; cushion about 1.8%). Would trigger Bearish trend breakdown.

LMT

Lockheed Martin
Bearish
z-score
-0.51 Bearish
Trend votes
2/5 Bearish
Price > 50dma
532.95 vs 554.52
Bearish
Price > 200dma
532.95 vs 556.59
Bearish
50dma > 200dma
554.52 vs 556.59
Bearish
3m return > 0
2.7%
Bullish
50dma rising
554.52 vs 547.78 10d ago
Bullish
Triggered rule
Bearish: z-score + weak trend breadth

z < -0.25 and 2 or fewer of 5 trend votes are bullish.

Next Bullish Trigger
Bullish trend confirmation

Price moves above the 200dma (532.95 vs 556.59; needs about 4.4%); 50dma moves above the 200dma (554.52 vs 556.59; gap about 0.4%). Would trigger Bullish trend confirmation.