The Macro Dashboard
Asset-level trend state

VAMS

Raw and confirmed VAMS readings for the portfolio assets plus selected public equities. See which state is waiting and what would confirm it. These are asset-level trend states, not allocation recommendations.

Snapshot
GeneratedOct 19, 2026, 9:19 AM CDT
Assets14
Sourcedashboard.json

VT

Total World Stock ETF
Current allocation n/a Decision details unavailable
z-score input
-0.73 Bearish
Trend-vote input
4/5 Bullish
Five trend votes and rule details
Price > 50dma
157.65 vs 159.61
Bearish
Price > 200dma
157.65 vs 151.51
Bullish
50dma > 200dma
159.61 vs 151.51
Bullish
3m return > 0
1.2%
Bullish
50dma rising
159.61 vs 159.19 10d ago
Bullish
Why this state is displayed
Bullish: trend confirmation

Price is above the 200dma, 3m return is positive, and at least 4 of 5 trend votes are bullish.

Input labels describe individual indicators. The conditions below change the combined raw signal; confirmation still applies. Raw Neutral means neither the Bullish nor Bearish rule is met.

Raw signal → Bearish
Bearish z-score + weak trend breadth

50dma stops rising versus 10 trading days ago (159.61 vs 159.19 10d ago; cushion about 0.3%); 3m return turns negative (1.2%). Would trigger Bearish z-score + weak trend breadth.

GLDM

SPDR Gold MiniShares
Current allocation n/a Decision details unavailable
z-score input
-1.96 Bearish
Trend-vote input
2/5 Bearish
Five trend votes and rule details
Price > 50dma
82.06 vs 85.61
Bearish
Price > 200dma
82.06 vs 89.43
Bearish
50dma > 200dma
85.61 vs 89.43
Bearish
3m return > 0
1.5%
Bullish
50dma rising
85.61 vs 85.52 10d ago
Bullish
Why this state is displayed
Bearish: z-score + weak trend breadth

z < -0.25 and 2 or fewer of 5 trend votes are bullish.

Input labels describe individual indicators. The conditions below change the combined raw signal; confirmation still applies. Raw Neutral means neither the Bullish nor Bearish rule is met.

Raw signal → Bullish
Bullish trend confirmation

Price moves above the 200dma (82.06 vs 89.43; needs about 9.0%); Price moves above the 50dma (82.06 vs 85.61; needs about 4.3%). Would trigger Bullish trend confirmation.

BTC

Bitcoin
Current allocation n/a Decision details unavailable
z-score input
0.77 Bullish
Trend-vote input
5/5 Bullish
Five trend votes and rule details
Price > 50dma
82,067.87 vs 81,486.34
Bullish
Price > 200dma
82,067.87 vs 72,571.28
Bullish
50dma > 200dma
81,486.34 vs 72,571.28
Bullish
3m return > 0
27.2%
Bullish
50dma rising
81,486.34 vs 80,718.54 10d ago
Bullish
Why this state is displayed
Bullish: z-score and trend confirmation

z > +0.25 with at least 3 trend votes, and price > 200dma with positive 3m return and at least 4 trend votes.

Input labels describe individual indicators. The conditions below change the combined raw signal; confirmation still applies. Raw Neutral means neither the Bullish nor Bearish rule is met.

Raw signal → Bearish
Bearish trend breakdown

Price falls below the 200dma (82,067.87 vs 72,571.28; cushion about 11.6%); 3m return turns negative (27.2%); Price falls below the 50dma (82,067.87 vs 81,486.34; cushion about 0.7%). Would trigger Bearish trend breakdown.

AGG

iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Current allocation n/a Decision details unavailable
z-score input
-1.88 Bearish
Trend-vote input
0/5 Bearish
Five trend votes and rule details
Price > 50dma
95.33 vs 95.77
Bearish
Price > 200dma
95.33 vs 96.88
Bearish
50dma > 200dma
95.77 vs 96.88
Bearish
3m return > 0
-1.4%
Bearish
50dma rising
95.77 vs 96.15 10d ago
Bearish
Why this state is displayed
Bearish: z-score and trend breakdown

z < -0.25 with 2 or fewer trend votes, and price < 200dma with negative 3m return and 2 or fewer trend votes.

Input labels describe individual indicators. The conditions below change the combined raw signal; confirmation still applies. Raw Neutral means neither the Bullish nor Bearish rule is met.

Raw signal → Bullish
Bullish trend confirmation

Price moves above the 200dma (95.33 vs 96.88; needs about 1.6%); 3m return turns positive (-1.4%); 50dma starts rising versus 10 trading days ago (95.77 vs 96.15 10d ago); Price moves above the 50dma (95.33 vs 95.77; needs about 0.5%). Would trigger Bullish trend confirmation.

TLT

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Current allocation n/a Decision details unavailable
z-score input
-1.52 Bearish
Trend-vote input
0/5 Bearish
Five trend votes and rule details
Price > 50dma
79.86 vs 80.33
Bearish
Price > 200dma
79.86 vs 83.38
Bearish
50dma > 200dma
80.33 vs 83.38
Bearish
3m return > 0
-3.4%
Bearish
50dma rising
80.33 vs 81.04 10d ago
Bearish
Why this state is displayed
Bearish: z-score and trend breakdown

z < -0.25 with 2 or fewer trend votes, and price < 200dma with negative 3m return and 2 or fewer trend votes.

Input labels describe individual indicators. The conditions below change the combined raw signal; confirmation still applies. Raw Neutral means neither the Bullish nor Bearish rule is met.

Raw signal → Bullish
Bullish trend confirmation

Price moves above the 200dma (79.86 vs 83.38; needs about 4.4%); 3m return turns positive (-3.4%); Price moves above the 50dma (79.86 vs 80.33; needs about 0.6%); 50dma starts rising versus 10 trading days ago (80.33 vs 81.04 10d ago). Would trigger Bullish trend confirmation.

BRK.B

Berkshire Hathaway
Current allocation n/a Decision details unavailable
z-score input
0.73 Bullish
Trend-vote input
5/5 Bullish
Five trend votes and rule details
Price > 50dma
532.08 vs 508.71
Bullish
Price > 200dma
532.08 vs 493.70
Bullish
50dma > 200dma
508.71 vs 493.70
Bullish
3m return > 0
8.7%
Bullish
50dma rising
508.71 vs 507.57 10d ago
Bullish
Why this state is displayed
Bullish: z-score and trend confirmation

z > +0.25 with at least 3 trend votes, and price > 200dma with positive 3m return and at least 4 trend votes.

Input labels describe individual indicators. The conditions below change the combined raw signal; confirmation still applies. Raw Neutral means neither the Bullish nor Bearish rule is met.

Raw signal → Bearish
Bearish trend breakdown

Price falls below the 200dma (532.08 vs 493.70; cushion about 7.2%); 3m return turns negative (8.7%); 50dma stops rising versus 10 trading days ago (508.71 vs 507.57 10d ago; cushion about 0.2%). Would trigger Bearish trend breakdown.

AMZN

Amazon
Current allocation n/a Decision details unavailable
z-score input
-0.53 Bearish
Trend-vote input
4/5 Bullish
Five trend votes and rule details
Price > 50dma
259.59 vs 256.78
Bullish
Price > 200dma
259.59 vs 242.87
Bullish
50dma > 200dma
256.78 vs 242.87
Bullish
3m return > 0
4.9%
Bullish
50dma rising
256.78 vs 256.93 10d ago
Bearish
Why this state is displayed
Bullish: trend confirmation

Price is above the 200dma, 3m return is positive, and at least 4 of 5 trend votes are bullish.

Input labels describe individual indicators. The conditions below change the combined raw signal; confirmation still applies. Raw Neutral means neither the Bullish nor Bearish rule is met.

Raw signal → Bearish
Bearish z-score + weak trend breadth

Price falls below the 50dma (259.59 vs 256.78; cushion about 1.1%); 3m return turns negative (4.9%). Would trigger Bearish z-score + weak trend breadth.

AAPL

Apple
Current allocation n/a Decision details unavailable
z-score input
0.65 Bullish
Trend-vote input
5/5 Bullish
Five trend votes and rule details
Price > 50dma
345.51 vs 326.34
Bullish
Price > 200dma
345.51 vs 292.83
Bullish
50dma > 200dma
326.34 vs 292.83
Bullish
3m return > 0
5.4%
Bullish
50dma rising
326.34 vs 322.41 10d ago
Bullish
Why this state is displayed
Bullish: z-score and trend confirmation

z > +0.25 with at least 3 trend votes, and price > 200dma with positive 3m return and at least 4 trend votes.

Input labels describe individual indicators. The conditions below change the combined raw signal; confirmation still applies. Raw Neutral means neither the Bullish nor Bearish rule is met.

Raw signal → Bearish
Bearish trend breakdown

Price falls below the 200dma (345.51 vs 292.83; cushion about 15.2%); 3m return turns negative (5.4%); 50dma stops rising versus 10 trading days ago (326.34 vs 322.41 10d ago; cushion about 1.2%). Would trigger Bearish trend breakdown.

TSLA

Tesla
Current allocation n/a Decision details unavailable
z-score input
-0.66 Bearish
Trend-vote input
2/5 Bearish
Five trend votes and rule details
Price > 50dma
364.58 vs 360.18
Bullish
Price > 200dma
364.58 vs 387.57
Bearish
50dma > 200dma
360.18 vs 387.57
Bearish
3m return > 0
-3.8%
Bearish
50dma rising
360.18 vs 348.90 10d ago
Bullish
Why this state is displayed
Bearish: z-score and trend breakdown

z < -0.25 with 2 or fewer trend votes, and price < 200dma with negative 3m return and 2 or fewer trend votes.

Input labels describe individual indicators. The conditions below change the combined raw signal; confirmation still applies. Raw Neutral means neither the Bullish nor Bearish rule is met.

Raw signal → Bullish
Bullish trend confirmation

Price moves above the 200dma (364.58 vs 387.57; needs about 6.3%); 3m return turns positive (-3.8%). Would trigger Bullish trend confirmation.

MSFT

Microsoft
Current allocation n/a Decision details unavailable
z-score input
0.50 Bullish
Trend-vote input
5/5 Bullish
Five trend votes and rule details
Price > 50dma
533.45 vs 506.20
Bullish
Price > 200dma
533.45 vs 435.50
Bullish
50dma > 200dma
506.20 vs 435.50
Bullish
3m return > 0
34.1%
Bullish
50dma rising
506.20 vs 490.59 10d ago
Bullish
Why this state is displayed
Bullish: z-score and trend confirmation

z > +0.25 with at least 3 trend votes, and price > 200dma with positive 3m return and at least 4 trend votes.

Input labels describe individual indicators. The conditions below change the combined raw signal; confirmation still applies. Raw Neutral means neither the Bullish nor Bearish rule is met.

Raw signal → Bearish
Bearish trend breakdown

Price falls below the 200dma (533.45 vs 435.50; cushion about 18.4%); 3m return turns negative (34.1%); 50dma stops rising versus 10 trading days ago (506.20 vs 490.59 10d ago; cushion about 3.1%). Would trigger Bearish trend breakdown.

NVDA

NVIDIA
Current allocation n/a Decision details unavailable
z-score input
-0.95 Bearish
Trend-vote input
4/5 Bullish
Five trend votes and rule details
Price > 50dma
217.32 vs 222.94
Bearish
Price > 200dma
217.32 vs 203.13
Bullish
50dma > 200dma
222.94 vs 203.13
Bullish
3m return > 0
4.8%
Bullish
50dma rising
222.94 vs 218.92 10d ago
Bullish
Why this state is displayed
Bullish: trend confirmation

Price is above the 200dma, 3m return is positive, and at least 4 of 5 trend votes are bullish.

Input labels describe individual indicators. The conditions below change the combined raw signal; confirmation still applies. Raw Neutral means neither the Bullish nor Bearish rule is met.

Raw signal → Bearish
Bearish z-score + weak trend breadth

50dma stops rising versus 10 trading days ago (222.94 vs 218.92 10d ago; cushion about 1.8%); 3m return turns negative (4.8%). Would trigger Bearish z-score + weak trend breadth.

GOOG

Alphabet
Current allocation n/a Decision details unavailable
z-score input
-0.81 Bearish
Trend-vote input
3/5 Neutral
Five trend votes and rule details
Price > 50dma
341.85 vs 341.21
Bullish
Price > 200dma
341.85 vs 339.27
Bullish
50dma > 200dma
341.21 vs 339.27
Bullish
3m return > 0
-1.3%
Bearish
50dma rising
341.21 vs 342.27 10d ago
Bearish
Why this state is displayed
Neutral: no bullish or bearish rule triggered

Neither bullish rule nor bearish rule has enough confirmation, so VAMS remains neutral.

Input labels describe individual indicators. The conditions below change the combined raw signal; confirmation still applies. Raw Neutral means neither the Bullish nor Bearish rule is met.

Raw signal → Bullish
Bullish trend confirmation

3m return turns positive (-1.3%). Would trigger Bullish trend confirmation.

Raw signal → Bearish
Bearish z-score + weak trend breadth

Price falls below the 50dma (341.85 vs 341.21; cushion about 0.2%). Would trigger Bearish z-score + weak trend breadth.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase
Current allocation n/a Decision details unavailable
z-score input
-1.02 Bearish
Trend-vote input
2/5 Bearish
Five trend votes and rule details
Price > 50dma
338.20 vs 347.73
Bearish
Price > 200dma
338.20 vs 322.45
Bullish
50dma > 200dma
347.73 vs 322.45
Bullish
3m return > 0
-2.0%
Bearish
50dma rising
347.73 vs 351.82 10d ago
Bearish
Why this state is displayed
Bearish: z-score + weak trend breadth

z < -0.25 and 2 or fewer of 5 trend votes are bullish.

Input labels describe individual indicators. The conditions below change the combined raw signal; confirmation still applies. Raw Neutral means neither the Bullish nor Bearish rule is met.

Raw signal → Bullish
Bullish trend confirmation

3m return turns positive (-2.0%); 50dma starts rising versus 10 trading days ago (347.73 vs 351.82 10d ago). Would trigger Bullish trend confirmation.

LMT

Lockheed Martin
Current allocation n/a Decision details unavailable
z-score input
-0.12 Neutral
Trend-vote input
2/5 Bearish
Five trend votes and rule details
Price > 50dma
546.04 vs 542.32
Bullish
Price > 200dma
546.04 vs 564.94
Bearish
50dma > 200dma
542.32 vs 564.94
Bearish
3m return > 0
7.7%
Bullish
50dma rising
542.32 vs 554.63 10d ago
Bearish
Why this state is displayed
Neutral: no bullish or bearish rule triggered

Neither bullish rule nor bearish rule has enough confirmation, so VAMS remains neutral.

Input labels describe individual indicators. The conditions below change the combined raw signal; confirmation still applies. Raw Neutral means neither the Bullish nor Bearish rule is met.

Raw signal → Bullish
Bullish trend confirmation

Price moves above the 200dma (546.04 vs 564.94; needs about 3.5%); 50dma starts rising versus 10 trading days ago (542.32 vs 554.63 10d ago). Would trigger Bullish trend confirmation.

Raw signal → Bearish
Bearish trend breakdown

3m return turns negative (7.7%). Would trigger Bearish trend breakdown.